MLB · 2026 Season · Logistic Regression Model
57.0
% correct — 15,746 games
60.7% on picks with probability ≥ 56% · 7,629 games
A real model.
Real results.
No bullshit.
Every prediction is logged before first pitch. Wins and losses both. Trained on 20 seasons of MLB data, walk-forward validated on 2019–2025.
One free pick every day — no card required.
Entertainment purposes only — not betting advice
57.0%
Overall Accuracy
60.7%
Prob. ≥ 56% (7,629 games)
15,746
Games Analyzed
2019–25
Test Period
Logistic Regression
Trained on 20 seasons of MLB game data and walk-forward validated on 2019–2025. Clean, interpretable, and fast. No black-box nonsense.
Probability Output
Every pick includes the model's raw probability output. These numbers reflect the model's confidence, not a guarantee. Use them to judge how strong a pick is.
Full Slate, Every Day
Every MLB game is modeled daily. Not a curated handful of easy matchups. Every game, every day.
Recent Results
Full history →| Date | Matchup | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | DET Tigers @ ATL Braves | ATL Braves | ✗ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | KC Royals @ OAK Athletics | OAK Athletics | ✓ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | HOU Astros @ BAL Orioles | HOU Astros | ✗ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | TOR Blue Jays @ MIN Twins | TOR Blue Jays | ✗ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | ARI D-backs @ MIL Brewers | MIL Brewers | ✓ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | SF Giants @ PHI Phillies | PHI Phillies | ✓ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | WSH Nationals @ NY Mets | WSH Nationals | ✓ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | COL Rockies @ CIN Reds | CIN Reds | ✓ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | STL Cardinals @ PIT Pirates | PIT Pirates | ✗ |
| Apr 29, 2026 | TB Rays @ CLE Guardians | TB Rays | ✗ |
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