MLB · 2026 Season · The DiamondEdge Model
62.1
% win rate at 58%+ confidence · 5,821 picks
+83.7u featured pick profit · 12.8% ROI
56.8% across all 16,956 games modeled
A real model.
Real results.
No bullshit.
Every prediction logged before first pitch, wins and losses. Trained on 20 seasons of MLB data, walk-forward backtested 2019 to 2025, live since Apr 9, 2026.
One free pick every day. No card required.
Entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Full disclaimer
62.1%
58%+ Confidence (5,821 picks)
+83.7u
Featured P/L (12.8% ROI, 1u flat)
56.8%
Overall (16,956 games)
2019-25
Backtest Period
Featured Pick Performance
Full ledger →Cumulative profit · flat 1 stake per bet
+12.8% ROI · 656 bets · -12.7u max drawdown
Average CLV · implied-prob edge per bet
+0.91% avg · 645 priced
Closing line value +0.91%. Markets moved toward our picks after placement, every season in the 2019 to 2025 backtest.
2019 to 2025 walk-forward backtest. Live since Apr 9, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Entertainment purposes only.
Featured Picks: The Product
These are the games we'd bet ourselves: flagged only when the odds are priced wrong. They're the toughest games to call, which is exactly why the payouts are so favorable. A lower win rate, but profitable in testing on the odds. Full P/L ledger in history.
A Real Model
Logistic regression trained on 20 seasons of MLB data and walk-forward backtested on 2019 to 2025. Clean, interpretable, and fast. No black-box nonsense. Every prediction is rated, and the roughly 30 to 140 per season that clear our filter become featured picks.
Full Slate to Research
Every MLB game is modeled daily, so you can dig into matchups and bet your own games too. The full slate is a research tool. The featured picks are what we stand behind.
Recent Picks
Full history →| Date | Matchup | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | CHI White Sox @ TB Rays | CHI White Sox | ✓ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | PIT Pirates @ CIN Reds | PIT Pirates | ✗ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | DET Tigers @ OAK Athletics | DET Tigers | ✓ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | MIL Brewers @ LAA Angels | MIL Brewers | ✗ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KC Royals @ COL Rockies | COL Rockies | ✓ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TEX Rangers @ HOU Astros | TEX Rangers | ✗ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | MIA Marlins @ NY Mets | MIA Marlins | ✓ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | MIN Twins @ SEA Mariners | SEA Mariners | ✓ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ARI D-backs @ CLE Guardians | ARI D-backs | ✗ |
| Aug 2, 2026 | WSH Nationals @ ATL Braves | ATL Braves | ✓ |
Pricing
Every featured pick.
Plans from $9.
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