MLB · 2026 Season · The DiamondEdge Model
62.3
% win rate at 58%+ confidence · 5,694 picks
+82.4u featured pick profit · 13.1% ROI
56.8% across all 16,386 games modeled
A real model.
Real results.
No bullshit.
Every prediction logged before first pitch, wins and losses. Trained on 20 seasons of MLB data, walk-forward backtested 2019 to 2025, live since Apr 9, 2026.
One free pick every day. No card required.
Entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. Full disclaimer
62.3%
58%+ Confidence (5,694 picks)
+82.4u
Featured P/L (13.1% ROI, 1u flat)
56.8%
Overall (16,386 games)
2019-25
Backtest Period
Featured Pick Performance
Full ledger →Cumulative profit · flat 1 stake per bet
+13.1% ROI · 629 bets
Closing line value +0.88%. Markets moved toward our picks after placement, every season in the 2019 to 2025 backtest.
2019 to 2025 walk-forward backtest. Live since Apr 9, 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Entertainment purposes only.
Featured Picks: The Product
These are the games we'd bet ourselves: flagged only when the odds are priced wrong. They're the toughest games to call, which is exactly why the payouts are so favorable. A lower win rate, but profitable in testing on the odds. Full P/L ledger in history.
A Real Model
Logistic regression trained on 20 seasons of MLB data and walk-forward backtested on 2019 to 2025. Clean, interpretable, and fast. No black-box nonsense. Every prediction is rated, and the roughly 30 to 140 per season that clear our filter become featured picks.
Full Slate to Research
Every MLB game is modeled daily, so you can dig into matchups and bet your own games too. The full slate is a research tool. The featured picks are what we stand behind.
Recent Picks
Full history →| Date | Matchup | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | SD Padres @ STL Cardinals | STL Cardinals | ✗ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | LAA Angels @ ARI D-backs | LAA Angels | ✗ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | TB Rays @ LA Dodgers | LA Dodgers | ✓ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | TOR Blue Jays @ BOS Red Sox | TOR Blue Jays | ✓ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | CHI White Sox @ NY Yankees | NY Yankees | ✓ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | COL Rockies @ CHI Cubs | CHI Cubs | ✓ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | CLE Guardians @ MIL Brewers | MIL Brewers | ✓ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | SF Giants @ ATL Braves | ATL Braves | ✗ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | PIT Pirates @ OAK Athletics | PIT Pirates | ✓ |
| Jun 17, 2026 | NY Mets @ CIN Reds | NY Mets | ✓ |
Pricing
Every featured pick.
Plans from $9.
Community
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Talk baseball, see the daily free pick, and get a heads-up when a featured pick drops. No subscription required.